Pace Wins The Race: Selection 20/01/15

Re-Cap…another very poor show from my Pace selection who drifted like a barge and never really got involved. I dont really want to count the losing run but I am now on 6/32 for +9.5 points. I will stick to what I know and hope to turn things around. Thankfully my race previews have been doing well and since the first bet in the Hennessy they are now 7/27 for +40.75 points profit. Not too bad in just over two months.

It is evident, even at this early stage, that Pace Wins The Race will never be a daily piece as too often nothing stands out and I would be betting for the sake of it. I think this approach will come into its own in 5f/6f sprint handicaps on the flat however in the meantime I need to find a winner and I am heading up to what could be an abandoned Wetherby…

UPDATE: another shocker. The cold list appears to be getting colder. Turning in he had a chance and thought his proven stamina would see him go close.  The horse who he beat comfortably last time exacted his revenge. That’s racing, onto tomorrow. Annoyingly we didnt even get a run for our money again.

 

1.40 Bennys Well 5/1 1 point win

It is no great secret that I am most comfortable looking at handicap/graded chases during the jumps season and I expect this Sue Smith charge to return us to the winner’s enclosure. He should get an easy lead and for a horse that likes to dominate and he is only 1lb higher than for his last win. Excuses can be made for his last two runs. The first of which I dont think he stayed and he is not a class 3 animal. The second race he was returning after 30 days and he has never performed well when doing so. Back down to a more realistic level I think he must have a superb chance here for a trainer who is in great form.

Crescent Beach is worth taking on. Yes he may have turned a corner last time out but he is 0/15 above class 5 and he is 0/15 going left handed. They are two pretty big questions he needs to answer and I wouldnt want to take 2/1. Bennys Well has beaten Rowdy Roger previously, Great Link needs to prove he stays and isnt in the best of form and the rest really do have too many questions to answer. I couldnt justify backing them given their form and none of them are what I would call a ‘profile horse’ (meaning sometimes you can ignore recent form)

So, hopefully Sue Smith’s charge can get us back on the right track, provided the meeting goes ahead!

Good Luck

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A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

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  • Fair play Josh, yes stick to what you know and no bet if not, never worth it just for the sake of it. We can all see that when you are on your favoured race types you know what you are doing, the wins and points prove that, looking forward to tastier meetings as the year progresses, cheers. 🙂

    Bristol Dave 19/01/15 8:36 PM Reply


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