Pace Wins The Race: Selection 19/01/15

Pace Wins The Race is in the doldrums at the moment so caution is advised until I find some form! 🙂 Thankfully Hawkes point made it a good week for me. The less said about the Peter Marsh Chase the better. When your two main selections Pull-Up there isnt much to say. They clearly didnt handle the extreme conditions. Hopefully you also backed the selection from Taunton who won at 3/1 to leave a 1 point profit for the day.

I am heading to Exeter tomorrow (hopefully it passes a precautionary inspection) to try and stop the Pace rot. Unfortunately I have had to go for  Novice Handicap Chase but  I have reasons to be hopeful that I can get back in the winnner’s enclosure…

 

UPDATE: The Pace rot continues and I didnt get much right there, if anything. The selection drifted all morning and the writing was on the wall early. I thought he would be handy but was niggled from an early stage. Kudu Shine just cant jump. We move on to tomorrow, if I can find anything. Apologies, that was awful!

 

2.20 Exeter

Red Admirable 6/1 1 point win (PP) 

This is a rather weak race with the two having least to prove dominating the top of the market. I couldnt split them really and therefore was swayed by getting twice the price on the selection. All of the other horses in this race have it all to prove over fences and many of them are in no sort of form at all. Now, it is a c4 Novice Handicap Chase so it wont surprise me if something wins that didnt look likely on paper..but that is the chance you take in these races. The other horse that interests me is Kudu Shine and I admit to having 1/2 a point on him at 6s as well. Namely because I backed him on Boxing Day at 7/1 and he was smashed into 11/4. This suggested a big run was expected however he unseated his rider at the first.

Red Admirable won well at Bangor a couple of races ago and had the fav well and truly beat that day. Winged Crusader was making his seasonal return that day, and has clearly come on for it since. However he is effectively 12lb higher than for his last win and will have to step up again. The selection is also open to improvement, this being his 4th chase start. He was pitched in the deep end last time and ran well for a long way before fading. He doesnt face anything like that opposition here and this prominent runner should give us a decent run for our money. He does need to prove he is as effective going right handed but I came to the conclusion that he shouldnt be twice the price of the fav. If he runs as well as he has in his last two races he will go very close to getting us off the cold list. Bar the three mentioned I am struggling to make a case for anything else.

Good Luck

 

About This Author

A community committed to making racing fun, enjoyable and profitable in the long term. Josh

5 Comments

You can post comments in this post.


  • That was poor Josh-never really looking like winning.And Kudu Shine wasn’t much better.
    When it’s going against us like this-i think u have to bide your time and select the right races that u are confident in.
    Hopefully there will be some opportunities during the week-without betting for the sake of it.
    Cheers

    Mick 19/01/15 2:50 PM Reply


    • yes totally agree. I should stick to race previews really! 🙂 This may be an approach that is best suited to flat turf sprint races, we shall see. Yes you are right about picking the right races, will re focus and try and find some winners!

      Josh Wright 19/01/15 3:06 PM Reply


  • When it drifted it set off alarm bells so I never backed it… Gonna be a watching brief for a while till things pick up.sure you’ll turn it around josh, and have the uptmost confidence.

    Michael Manning 19/01/15 2:57 PM Reply


    • Good call, I think that is wise 🙂 This is a learning curve for me as much as anything. Thankfully the big race previews have been doing ok, but the Pace selections are on a poor run. Will have a think how to move forward and hopefully can turn it around.

      Josh Wright 19/01/15 3:07 PM Reply


      • the beauty of betting with bet 365 is you can cash out and lose 10% of your stake,so if something drifts alarmingly i just take the 10% loss, not gone against me yet.

        stodgy88 19/01/15 3:43 PM Reply


Post A Reply